Willowcreek Oregon Weather Forecast Discussion

706
FXUS65 KBOI 112051
AFDBOI
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boise ID
251 PM MDT Sat Oct 11 2025
.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Monday night...An upper trough will
move eastward across our CWA this evening. Another upper trough
will move southward along the northwest coast Sunday. These
troughs will maintain cool, showery weather through Monday.
Showers from the first trough will affect northern areas tonight
and Sunday morning. Showers from the second trough Sunday
afternoon through Monday will stay mainly in Oregon. Snow level
will lower to 5000 feet MSL north to 6000 feet south tonight
through Monday. Total rainfall through Monday morning will be
.25 to .60 inch in northern mountains, .05 to .25 inch in
eastern Oregon, and less than .05 inch in southeast Oregon and
southwest Idaho. Total snowfall will be up to 4 inches in
northern mountains, with little or no accumulation elsewhere.
Northwest wind 10 to 20 mph this evening, with gusts to 30 mph
in the Snake Basin and in southeast Oregon. Less windy Sunday
and still mainly from the west or northwest.
.LONG TERM...Tuesday through Saturday...A cutoff low pressure
system is forecast to move over central CA Tuesday and then
northeast across NV and over southern ID by Wednesday afternoon.
Wrap-around subtropical moisture will impact the forecast area,
especially Tuesday night and Wednesday across SW ID and far SE
OR where probability of precipitation is 60-80 percent. Snow
levels are forecast to be in the 6-8K feet range. The upper
low is forecast to pull away from the area Wednesday night
and Thursday with a decreasing trend in precipitation in NW
flow. A shortwave trough embedded in the NW flow is forecast
to move across ID on Friday with a continued chance of
precipitation mainly for the northern mountains heading into
the weekend. Below normal temperatures are expected through
the extended period, especially Wednesday and beyond.
&&
.AVIATION...Mainly VFR through late afternoon with scattered
showers in the Magic Valley diminishing early this evening.
Otherwise, VFR this evening and overnight except scattered
to numerous showers developing mainly north of the Snake River
Plain and in the KBKE area. Areas of IFR/LIFR in showers with
mountains obscured at times. Snow level around 6000 feet MSL
lowering to 5500 feet late tonight. Surface winds: W-NW 5-15kt.
Wind gusts to 15-25kt diminishing in the evening. Winds aloft
at 10kft MSL: SW-W 20-30kt.
KBOI...VFR. A 20-25 percent chance of showers overnight.
Surface winds: W-NW 10-15kt decreasing to around 5 kt this
evening.
Sunday Outlook...North of the Snake River Plain and KBKE area...
rain/snow showers continuing with periods of low VFR/MVFR in
rain, IFR/LIFR in snow with mountains obscured. Snow levels
5-6kft MSL. Elsewhere...VFR. Surface winds: generally SW-NW
10-15 kt, gusts to 20-25 kt.
&&
.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...None.
OR...None.
&&
$$
www.weather.gov/Boise
Interact with us via social media:
www.facebook.com/NWSBoise
www.x.com/NWSBoise
SHORT TERM...LC
LONG TERM....TL
AVIATION.....TL

NWS BOI Office Area Forecast Discussion