717 FXUS65 KBOI 240238 AFDBOIArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boise ID 838 PM MDT Tue Sep 23 2025
.DISCUSSION...An upper-level ridge of high pressure will maintain clear skies and above-normal temperatures through at least Wednesday. Temperatures are forecast to reach the mid-80s on Wednesday, peaking on Thursday with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s across the lower valleys. Fortunately, overnight lows will drop to near-normal temperatures due to decreasing daylight. The ridge is expected to weaken on Thursday as a dry cold front passes across Washington and northern Idaho. This will bring temperatures closer to normal and increase west-to- northwest winds.
Smoke from area fires will likely become trapped in the mountain valleys of Adams and Weiser counties Wednesday morning, but this should mix out in the afternoon. No significant forecast updates are needed at this time.
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.AVIATION...Skies clear and VFR. Surface winds: E-SE up to 10 kt. Winds aloft at 10kft MSL: E-SE 5-10 kt.
KBOI...Skies clear and VFR. Surface winds: light and variable this evening, becoming SE under 10 kt by Wed/06z.
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.PREV DISCUSSION... SHORT TERM...Tonight through Thursday night...A ridge of high pressure will remain over the region through the short term. Breezy southeast winds expected during the afternoons on Tuesday and Wednesday through the I-84 corridor in Baker County, and the Treasure Valley to the Magic Valley. Elsewhere, breezy southeast winds mainly on the ridgetops during the day with light winds at night. Temperatures warm to around 10 degrees above normal on Wednesday and continue through Thursday. A dry cold front moves across WA and northern ID Thursday and brings increased west-northwest winds late Thursday.
LONG TERM...Friday through Tuesday...Broad ridging behind a closed low over CA/NV is expected to slowly build into the upper Great Basin and SE OR/SW ID through Friday and into the weekend, returning a slight warming trend. Peak valley temperatures are expected to climb back up into the mid 80s Saturday and Sunday. The closed low off CA/NV is expected to stall throughout Saturday before moving NE`ward as a longwave trough on Sunday, steering some monsoonal moisture off the Four Corners region into the area. This will favor isolated showers/thunderstorms, mainly over higher elevations and the lower Magic Valley, late Sunday into Monday. A strong upper low over the Gulf of Alaska is expected to dig into the Northwest coast through Monday and Tuesday, bringing higher chances for showers/thunderstorms throughout the area early next week. Considerable uncertainty remains over the timing and intensity of the precipitation carried over by this incoming trough.
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.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ID...None. OR...None.
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DISCUSSION...JDS AVIATION.....NF SHORT TERM...KA LONG TERM....JY
NWS BOI Office Area Forecast Discussion