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Yellville Arkansas Weather Forecast Discussion

053
FXUS64 KLZK 091057
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 557 AM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 200 AM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025

-A cooler and drier airmass will be in place across Arkansas through the end of the workweek.

-A period of dry weather conditions are likely over the next seven days or the entire duration of the forecast period from today through Wednesday.

-A warming trend for temperatures overall will be present from the weekend into early next workweek. Anticipate temperatures to be 5 to 10 degrees above average overall compared to normals for mid- October.

-No considerable changes of any sort from the previous forecast package.

&&

.DISCUSSION... Issued at 200 AM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025

THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY:

The beginning of the forecast period across the Natural State will begin with a drier and cooler airmass in place. Surface high pressure centered over the Great Lakes region of the CONUS will lead to northeasterly flow across Arkansas which will usher in a continued advection of cooler and drier air across the state. In the upper lvls, elongated ridging will be present over the Southeastern region of the CONUS extending westward over the Southern Plains region of the CONUS, this includes over Arkansas which will lead to nearly zonal flow. Expect a period of temperatures that will be average for this time of the year to a few degrees below normal across the state. Low temperatures on Friday morning will fall into the low to mid 40s across portions of north-central Arkansas and the higher terrain of western Arkansas.

SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY:

Into the weekend, the surface high pressure will shift eastward and allow a return to southerly and southeasterly flow across Arkansas. In response, temperatures will begin to gradually increase overall and by beginning of the next workweek will be 5 to 10 degrees above average for this time of the year. An upper lvl ridge will be centered over the ARK-LA-TEX region of the CONUS and nearly zonal flow will be noted over Arkansas which will keep dry and warming conditions present for the remainder of the forecast period. Expect a continuation of dry and fair weather conditions with overall warming temperatures.

Models continue to show strong agreement of a dry next seven days across Arkansas with gradually warming into the weekend and through the middle of next week or the end of the forecast period.

&&

.AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 555 AM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025

Expect VFR flight category across all sites for the entire duration of the forecast period from Thursday morning through Friday morning. High pressure behind the frontal boundary that moved across Arkansas has led to fair and dry weather conditions. Surface winds at the terminals of KLIT, KPBF, and KLLQ will gust in excess of 20 knots later Thursday morning through Thursday evening.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 77 47 79 56 / 0 0 0 0 Camden AR 79 50 80 53 / 0 0 0 0 Harrison AR 74 49 78 57 / 0 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 78 51 80 55 / 0 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 76 52 78 57 / 0 0 0 0 Monticello AR 80 52 81 56 / 0 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 79 50 81 54 / 0 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 76 48 78 57 / 0 0 0 0 Newport AR 76 47 78 57 / 0 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 78 49 80 55 / 0 0 0 0 Russellville AR 79 52 80 58 / 0 0 0 0 Searcy AR 77 48 79 55 / 0 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 76 50 79 56 / 0 0 0 0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&

$$

SHORT TERM...74 LONG TERM....74 AVIATION...74

NWS LZK Office Area Forecast Discussion

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