466 FXUS64 KHUN 081749 AFDHUNArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Huntsville AL 1249 PM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025
...New AVIATION...
.NEAR TERM... (Tonight) Issued at 1244 PM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025
Drier air will finally begin to filter into the area today as upper troughing pushes east and high pressure/upper ridging over the western Plains becomes better amplified. The clearing line of the dense stratus deck can be seen slowly shifting south through western TN and should reach the local area later this afternoon. Northerly winds will be gusty at times this afternoon and combined with the cloud cover will help keep highs limited to the mid to upper 70s. Although the drier air may be lagging behind a bit, it should feel noticeably cooler today. Overnight lows will fall into the upper 40s to mid 50s, with some clouds increasing over NE AL towards the morning hours as a weak embedded shortwave passes over the area.
&&
.SHORT TERM... (Thursday through Friday night) Issued at 1244 PM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025
The aforementioned ridge will continue to build to our west through the end of the work week and large scale subsidence will help keep drier air in place. With sfc high pressure over the northeast Atlantic coast, we will also feel the benefits of cold air damming from the Appalachians. Daytime highs will be in the 70s with lows in the upper 40s and 50s each night. Some of the coolest air of the season is expected Friday night as lows sink to the upper 40s across a larger portion of the area. The only potential impact during this time period will be the chance for patchy fog in and around river valleys and sheltered locations.
&&
.LONG TERM... (Saturday through Tuesday) Issued at 1244 PM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025
Global models continue to indicate that a developing 500-mb trough (initially positioned along the southeastern Atlantic Coast) will continue to intensify as it lifts north-northeastward this weekend. This disturbance may then become absorbed within the flow around a more compact northern stream trough digging southeastward from the Great Lakes, with this evolution resulting in the formation of a large closed low in the general vicinity of the Mid-Atlantic Coast. With NNW winds aloft predicted to increase into the 25-35 knot range between the low to our east and a 500-mb ridge extending from south TX into the Great Lakes, we expect dry conditions to prevail through the period. Highs will slowly warm from the 75-80F range on Saturday into the l-m 80s by Tuesday, with lows also increasing from the 45-50F range Sunday morning into the l-m 50s early next week.
&&
.AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1249 PM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025
Breezy northeast winds will be the main impact this afternoon as the MVFR stratus deck begins to erode. Gusts up to 20kts will remain possible through the remainder of the day. No fog is forecast through the TAF period.
&&
.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. TN...None. &&
$$
NEAR TERM...25 SHORT TERM....25 LONG TERM....70 AVIATION...25
NWS HUN Office Area Forecast Discussion