Throckmorton, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

879
FXUS64 KSJT 171856
AFDSJT
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
156 PM CDT Wed Sep 17 2025
...New LONG TERM...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Warm, but near-normal temperatures continue today
- Low chances for showers and thunderstorms primarily Sunday
  through Tuesday.
- After above normal temperatures Friday through Monday,
  temperatures should be at least a little cooler Tuesday into
  Wednesday.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 143 PM CDT Wed Sep 17 2025
Expect overnight lows in the 60s. An upper level trough will track
across the Plains tonight into Thursday. This will send a weak cold
front into north Texas and eventually into northern portions of the
Big Country late Thursday. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are
possible across mainly the northern Big Country Thursday afternoon,
but most of this activity will remain north of the area. Highs will
be near to slightly above normal, in the upper 80s to lower 90s.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 154 PM CDT Wed Sep 17 2025
An upper level high will be over Mexico Friday into the weekend.
The system is forecast to retrograde a bit and be over northwestern
Mexico or the Baja region Monday. This will place our area on its
northeastern to eastern periphery with west-northwest flow aloft
becoming northwesterly. With this setup, a couple of embedded
disturbances could move over our area and bring a possibility of
isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms. At this time, it
the higher PoPs look to be in our eastern counties Sunday and
Monday, primarily in the afternoon and evening hours. Daily high
temperatures will be above normal, more notably Sunday and Monday.
For Tuesday and Wednesday of next week, an upper low is progged to
drop southeast over portions of the Plains and Midwest, but the
medium range models continue to differ with the placement of this
low. In either case, the setup should allow a weak cold front to
move south into our area Tuesday. This will bring a chance of
showers and thunderstorms to our area, but details with rain chances
and possible rainfall amounts are uncertain. With an increase in
cloud cover and passage of the weak cold front, temperatures look to
be a little cooler and closer to normal.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1103 AM CDT Wed Sep 17 2025
Light winds and VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24
hours.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     69  92  69  93 /   0  10  10  10
San Angelo  66  91  66  92 /   0   0  10  10
Junction    64  91  64  91 /   0  10   0  10
Brownwood   66  92  67  92 /   0  10  10  10
Sweetwater  68  92  67  92 /   0  10  10  10
Ozona       66  89  65  90 /   0   0   0  10
Brady       66  89  68  89 /   0  10   0  10
&&
.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Daniels
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...Daniels

NWS SJT Office Area Forecast Discussion