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Thornton Illinois Weather Forecast Discussion

769
FXUS63 KLOT 091939
AFDLOT

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville, IL 239 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Widely isolated showers or sprinkles possible Friday into Friday evening.

- Seasonable temperatures expected through the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION... Issued at 239 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025

A compact wave crossing central Manitoba this evening will track southeastward across the Great Lakes region through Friday evening, with an associated cold front crossing the forecast area late afternoon through the evening. Satellite imagery today combined with guidance indicates an expansive area of dry air across the central CONUS. However, a ribbon of mid-level moisture extending from Minnesota to eastern Kansas should provide sufficient moisture for isolated to scattered showers with a mid-level front/weak trough nearing the area from the west late tonight. Overall shower/sprinkle coverage will then diminish in coverage and become quite sparse as the front/trough washes out over the area through the day on Friday. The main front will then bring another period of sprinkles or narrow bands of very light rain Friday evening. Finally, isolated light lake effect rain showers cannot be ruled out showers cannot be ruled out across northwest Indiana late Friday night into Saturday, but low inversion heights will greatly limit convective cloud depths.

The overall pattern across the central CONUS will remain relatively quiet next week with a persistent low-amplitude ridge anchored across the central Great Plains and Lower Mississippi River Valley and a deep upper-level low stalled across northern Canada. A series of impulses emanating from the upper-level low will pass the area well to the northeast, bringing several weakening cold fronts toward the forecast area through the week. While there will be some shower chances during this time, a vast majority of the area will remain dry. Temps will favor slightly above normal for mid-October.

Kluber

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/... Issued at 1226 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025

Key messages for the 18Z TAF period:

* Light, likely non-impactful showers possible Friday morning, especially at RFD

ESE winds below 10 kt this afternoon will gradually veer through the night becoming SSW by early Friday. Expect SW gusts to around 20 kt, occasionally higher, during the late morning and afternoon. At RFD, gusts should kick in during the earlier part of the morning.

A decaying system of showers will work across northern IL Friday morning and afternoon. Light rain appears most likely at RFD where a PROB30 was introduced in this TAF cycle. Chicagoland sites were issued a dry TAF for a lesser potential, but intermittent non- impactful showers or sprinkles will be possible across all sites on Friday.

Doom

&&

.LOT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. IN...None. LM...None.

&&

$$

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NWS LOT Office Area Forecast Discussion

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