892 FXUS63 KGID 282345 AFDGIDArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Hastings NE 645 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Warm (80s) temperatures and breezy afternoons (southerly winds 15-25 MPH) expected all week.
- A small chance for precip (10-30%) returns Friday night through Sunday. Only light precip totals are currently in the forecast and parts of the area will likely receive little to no precip.
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 205 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
Another warm fall afternoon across the local area as temperatures climbed into the 80s along with a steady southeasterly breeze. High pressure remains across the center of the country aloft...with an area of low pressure across the desert southwest.
Expect the upper level ridge aloft to shift east over the next couple of days as the upper level low across the desert southwest shifts into the southern plains...allowing a weak upper level disturbance to brush the local area mid-week. While the current forecast remains dry...some of the ensemble members are trying to generate some very light precip across the area Tuesday PM-Wednesday, but more than likely this will only result in an increased amount of cloud cover over the period. Could also see temps dip a couple of degrees mid-week with slightly lower heights aloft and this variable cover, but temps will remain above normal and likely still in the 80s each afternoon.
The next slightly better chance for some measurable precip will come late in the week when an upper level trough crosses the Rockies and helps steer a cold front moves across the area Saturday. Again, this does not look like a major precip event or significant cool down late in the period, although should see some light showers across the area starting as early as Friday evening and continuing of and on across at least parts of the area through Sunday.
Other than the warm temperatures and mostly dry conditions, expect regular breezy afternoons as the local area will remain sandwiched between surface low pressure on the lee side of the Rockies and surface high pressure to the east. This will result in southerly flow across the area all week, with winds likely reaching 15-25 MPH each afternoon. Not overly windy by any means, but a bit breezy especially during the afternoon hours each day.
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.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/... Issued at 642 PM CDT Sun Sep 28 2025
For KGRI/KEAR Airports:
Tonight: Main concern is the potential for low level wind shear (LLWS), however, models have backed off a bit on this. Have maintained the LLWS in the EAR TAF, but removed from GRI as criteria should fall just shy. Winds at the surface will be SE to S around 6-9kt. Only FEW to SCT high clouds expected.
Monday: VFR with only FEW to SCT high clouds. Winds will be southerly at 10-15kt, with gusts near 20kt.
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.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...None. KS...None.
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DISCUSSION...Rossi AVIATION...Thies
NWS GID Office Area Forecast Discussion