Stockton, Kansas Weather Forecast Discussion

271
FXUS63 KGID 250009
AFDGID
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
709 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
...Aviation and Key Messages Update...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Any spotty/fleeting sprinkles that might still occur this
  evening through around 9-10 PM should be confined to the
  southeast half of our forecast area (south-through-east of
  the Tri Cities).
- A dry forecast is expected Thursday through Tuesday.
- High temperatures Thursday through Tuesday will be in the
  upper 70s to mid 80s.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 253 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
Today and tonight...
An upper trough is centered over the Great Lakes region and extends
southwestward towards Oklahoma and Texas. Nebraska and Kansas are on
the backside of the upper trough. Winds across south central and
central Nebraska and north central Kansas are mainly out of the
north with temperatures mostly in the 70s. A few rain showers are
across portions of the area and may continue into the evening hours
(less than 20% chance). Low temperatures tonight will range from the
upper 40s to mid 50s.
Thursday through Saturday night...
The upper trough will continue moving eastward with upper ridging
beginning to move over Nebraska and Kansas Thursday into Friday.
Winds will transition to the south on Thursday and will remain
mostly out of the south until Friday night into Saturday when a weak
cold front moves into the area. Surface high pressure will be across
the area on Saturday with mostly northerly winds. High temperatures
Thursday through Saturday will warm up into the upper 70s to mid
80s. Low temperatures during this time will generally range from the
upper 40s to the upper 50s.
Sunday through Tuesday...
The upper ridge will mainly be over the Midwest on Sunday, and an
upper trough will begin to lift northeast from the Desert Southwest.
Southerly winds will be across south central and central Nebraska
and north central Kansas on Sunday with high temperatures in the low
to mid 80s. Low temperatures Sunday night will be in the upper 50s
to low 60s. Southerly winds continue Monday through Tuesday with
high temperatures in the upper 70s to the lower/mid 80s. Low
temperatures during this time will range from the mid/upper 50s to
lower 60s.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 709 PM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025
For KGRI/KEAR Airports:
Other than the slightest chance (currently considered no higher
than 20%) of some fleeting/shallow fog briefly reducing
visibility to sub-VFR sometime around sunrise Thursday, this is
otherwise an EXTREMELY high-confidence VFR forecast with regard
to ceiling/visibility and precip-free weather (in fact very few
clouds whatsoever). Given that the aforementioned chance of fog
is so low, it is not included in TAFs at this time.
Winds will be a minimal factor (and unusually-light by late-
September standards), with sustained speeds at-or-below 6KT the
vast majority of the time as direction largely prevails
northwesterly to westerly before eventually turning more
southerly late Thursday afternoon.
&&
.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Schuldt
AVIATION...Pfannkuch

NWS GID Office Area Forecast Discussion