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Sayner, Wisconsin Weather Forecast Discussion

889
FXUS63 KGRB 240725
AFDGRB

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Green Bay WI 225 AM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025

Forecast discussion for routine morning forecast issuance

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A period of low impact weather expected through the remainder of the week through the early part of next week with little rainfall and temperatures trending above average.

&&

.DISCUSSION... Issued at 225 AM CDT Wed Sep 24 2025

Low level clouds and patchy fog due to moisture from the northerly flow over Lake Superior are expected this morning across northern Wisconsin. Although the fog should burn off a few hours after sunrise, the low clouds will likely persist across northern Wisconsin due to the persistent influx of moisture.

A mid level trough, evident on GOES water vapor imagery over the north-central Great Lakes region, will slowly sink south through tonight and eventually push off to the east on Thursday as upper level ridging establishes itself across the Great Lakes. An isolated sprinkle will be possible given the overall troughing across the region, with the best chance (less than 20%) during the afternoon during peak heating.

The upper level ridging should keep the weather fairly dry for the rest of the week and into the weekend as well as the early part of next week as temperatures warm well above normal for this time of year. Highs are expected to be solidly in the 70s with a non- zero chance of hitting 80 (5-10% chance) across central and east- central Wisconsin as lows in the 40s and 50s are expected across the region.

&&

.AVIATION...for 06Z TAF Issuance Issued at 1052 PM CDT Tue Sep 23 2025

A stratus deck will continue to overspread the region late this evening into early Wednesday. Mainly IFR/MVFR ceilings are expected, with LIFR possible over north-central WI (RHI). Can`t rule out a few sprinkles on Wednesday, but no impacts are expected. Ceilings will slowly increase on Wednesday. Lower clouds will be possible again Wednesday night.

Some fog is expected overnight into early Wednesday, mainly across central and north central WI. HREF probabilities are very low (under 20%) for under a mile VSBY, but much of the other guidance (MET/MAV/LAV/LAMP) are more aggressive with the more widespread and denser fog. RHI looks to be most impacted by the fog, with the SREF showing 50-70% of under a mile. Will continue to have the lowest VSBYs (LIFR... possibly VLIFR) at RHI. Winds will remain out of the north to northeast under 15 kts tonight into Wednesday.

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.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION.....Kurimski AVIATION.......Bersch

NWS GRB Office Area Forecast Discussion

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