Sattler Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

991
FXUS64 KEWX 101038
AFDEWX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
538 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Low humidity, cooler mornings, and warm afternoons Friday
  through the weekend.
- Continued warm afternoons and dry next week
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 100 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Expanding high pressure to the northeast allows even drier air to
backdoor into the region today, with the pool of higher moisture
along the Rio Grande being pushed southwest into Mexico. Cooler
morning but continued warm afternoons are forecast.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 100 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Southerly low level flow resumes Sunday, and low level moisture is
forecast to gradually increase Sunday into Monday. The ridge aloft
strengthens Monday through Wednesday, centering over or just east of
the area. By Tuesday global models are indicating H5 heights of
594dm, with the LREF Grand Ensemble indicating these heights at the
99th percentile for this time of year. We continue with slightly
warmer afternoon highs than what the NBM is indicating Monday
through Wednesday.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 538 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025
VFR flying conditions today through Saturday morning. FEW015 over
the Hill Country will dissipate by mid morning with no impacts to
any sites. Light and VRBL winds mix to NE to SE at 5 to 12 KTs
during the day into early evening, then decouple to light and VRBL
overnight into early morning.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 100 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Despite spotty showers the past few days, the lack of significant
rainfall the past month for most locations has led to flash drought
conditions. Dry conditions continuing over the next week, along with
low afternoon humidity, especially today through Sunday, will
continue to promote the drying of fuels across the region. Despite
relatively weaker winds today and Saturday, elevated fire weather
conditions are possible the next several days, especially along and
east of the I-35 corridor where fuels are more drought stressed.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              93  64  92  63 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  93  58  92  58 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     93  61  92  60 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            88  61  88  61 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           92  66  92  65 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        90  58  90  58 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             92  62  91  59 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        94  60  92  57 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   92  59  91  59 /   0   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       92  64  90  63 /   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           94  66  93  62 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...76
LONG TERM....76
FIRE WEATHER...76
AVIATION...04

NWS EWX Office Area Forecast Discussion