Santa Rosa, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

309
FXUS64 KBRO 132221
AFDBRO
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Brownsville TX
521 PM CDT Sat Sep 13 2025
...New AVIATION...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1240 PM CDT Sat Sep 13 2025
Satellite-derived PWATs this morning shows a boundary of dry air
draped across South Texas and the southern Gulf waters, funneling
isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms north/northwestward
over the southern Gulf. While this mornings convection and the
couple showers that were able to push inland into Cameron county
have limited surface heating, this should not be an obstacle for
convection to initiate along the seabreeze this afternoon with
clearing skies and abundant moisture (Satellite derived PWATs 1.7 to
2").
A subtropical ridge shifting westward will funnel in drier air
aloft, reducing Sunday`s PoPs to low (

NWS BRO Office Area Forecast Discussion