Ridgetop, Tennessee Weather Forecast Discussion

616
FXUS64 KOHX 170413
AFDOHX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1113 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1042 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025
- A few isolated showers and storms tonight, but most of Middle TN
  will be rain-free. Patchy dense fog is likely overnight in
  areas that received rain.
- Afternoon highs remain a few degrees above normal this week with
  temperatures in the 80s to mid 90s.
- Low rain chances (15-30%) over the weekend into early next week,
  with a slight decreasing trend in temperatures.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Thursday Night)
Issued at 1042 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025
If you got rain today, it`s pretty steamy out there. The 00Z balloon
launch revealed a stark temperature inversion just off the surface,
so we could certainly see some fog tonight. Best chances for
areas of patchy dense fog development will be over areas that
received rain today which includes a large chunk of the northeast
quadrant of our CWA. Do still see some clouds over the area that
are pushing off of the low to our east, but assuming those clear
out, watch out for fog overnight.
Our winds will shift out of the northeast by late Wednesday
morning, ushering in drier air, and thus limiting rain/storm
chances tomorrow. More of the same can be expected Thursday with
temperatures ever so slightly higher as the ridge aloft continues
its push east.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Friday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1042 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025
Friday will be our hottest day this week as the ridge moves directly
overhead with widespread afternoon temperatures in the mid 90s east
of the Plateau (mid to upper 80s there). It still looks like Friday,
although hot, will be dry most of the day, so hopefully evening
ballgames can commence without interruptions from the weather. It
is worth noting that some models are showing rain/shower chances
picking up Friday night as troughing from the midwest builds in,
but will have a better idea once we are in viewing range of
higher-res models. With the trough moving in, lower heights are
currently off to our north, meaning Saturday will still likely be
hot and mostly dry, but with an increase in cloud cover and
perhaps some showers. Euro ensembles are currently giving a 50%
chance of at least a hundredth of an inch of rain, mainly across
the western half of the CWA. The trough will dip lower into the
area Sunday, bringing a low 20% of rain and storms with
temperatures just a few degrees cooler in the upper 80s. Moving
into next week, troughing will remain the dominant synoptic
feature that influences our weather. This will help to slightly
regulate temperatures back into the mid to upper 80s and also
provide more opportunities for rain. Low rain chances between 15%
to 20% are in the forecast each day beyond Saturday.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 629 PM CDT Tue Sep 16 2025
Shower and storm activity that impacted the terminals this
afternoon is dissipating with no further impacts expected
overnight or Wednesday. Models favor fog development impacting
BNA/MQY/SRB/CSV after 07-09z. Any fog that develops will
dissipate by 13z. Winds will continue to be around 5 kts or less
and variable in direction for the forecast period.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      67  92  65  93 /  10   0   0   0
Clarksville    65  94  63  95 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     59  81  57  83 /  10   0   0   0
Columbia       66  91  63  92 /  10   0   0   0
Cookeville     61  84  60  86 /  10   0   0   0
Jamestown      60  82  58  85 /  10   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   65  89  62  90 /  20   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   64  90  62  92 /  10   0   0   0
Waverly        66  92  64  93 /  10   0   0   0
&&
.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Baggett
LONG TERM....Baggett
AVIATION.....Reagan

NWS OHX Office Area Forecast Discussion