Richland, Missouri Weather Forecast Discussion

552
FXUS63 KSGF 272303
AFDSGF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
603 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Above normal temperatures and dry weather for the next 7 days.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 200 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
Current Conditions and Synoptic Pattern: Water vapor and upper
air analysis showed a blocking pattern across the CONUS with a
trough in the east, a strengthening ridge over the central
plains and a low across the southwest. The 12z KSGF sounding
measured a very dry airmass above 850mb with a PW value of only
0.62in. A surface front was largely stationary from central
Kansas into central Iowa. Other than some low level cumulus east
of Springfield, skies were mostly sunny with temps reaching the
upper 70s to lower 80s.
Through Sunday: Low level cumulus will likely dissipate
after sunset with mostly clear skies for the evening and
overnight hours. Given likely crossover temps in the middle to
upper 50s, would expect some patchy fog again overnight in some
of the low lying areas. HREF output does show some small areas
of fog near lakes/rivers however it should remain very
localized. Lows look to again drop into the 50s. The mid level
ridge looks to expand a little more on Sunday with a slight
increase in 850mb temps (closer to 14-16C). Therefore we should
see high temps a little warmer with most areas in the lower to
middle 80s.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 200 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
Next Week: Ensemble cluster analysis shows a trough west of the
area with tropical disturbances affecting the far southeast US.
Our area looks to be caught in between with high pressure in
control. A persistence forecast will prevail for much of the
week. 850mb temps in the 12-14C range will support highs in the
80s which is above average (average highs are in the upper 70s).
The latest NBM and other extended guidance continues to show
rain chances remaining below 10 percent for at least the next 7
days.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 602 PM CDT Sat Sep 27 2025
Light winds will occur across the area this evening through the
day on Monday. Some patchy fog will be possible tonight into
early Sunday morning mainly in low lying areas, chances for fog
impacted the TAF sites are low. Otherwise VFR conditions will
occur across the area through the TAF period.
&&
.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
MO...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Burchfield
LONG TERM...Burchfield
AVIATION...Wise

NWS SGF Office Area Forecast Discussion