Reading, Ohio Weather Forecast Discussion

094
FXUS61 KILN 261753
AFDILN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
153 PM EDT Fri Sep 26 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
Dry conditions and above normal temperatures are expected through
the weekend. Above normal temperatures will continue into the
beginning of next week, becoming closer to normal around the middle
of the week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Cu will be present today. High clouds will start to work in across
portions of the region late in the overnight. Some fog will be
possible again tonight, however do not expect it to be as widespread
or as dense as last night. Dry conditions are expected for the near
term.
High temperatures are expected to be in the middle 70s to around 80
today and lows tonight are expected to drop into the 50s tonight.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
Some additional Cu and high clouds will be possible for Saturday. Dry
conditions are expected to continue for the short term. Highs are
expected to be in the upper 70s to low 80s on Saturday with lows
Saturday night will drop down into the 50s.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
On Sunday morning, an upper trough will be located over the
Appalachian mountains, with ridging building into the Mississippi
Valley and the Great Lakes. Surface high pressure will also develop
in the vicinity of the northern extent of the ridge, with this
surface high expected to move east across the Great Lakes from
Sunday into Monday. The overall weather pattern favors generally
higher surface pressures and heights to the north of the Ohio Valley
going into the week. The main question will be regarding the track
of a tropical system (AL94) moving through the Carolinas.
Confidence is highest in dry weather and generally warmer
temperatures through Sunday and Monday, with strong model agreement
in high pressure remaining in place. Highs on Sunday and Monday,
generally forecast to be in the lower 80s, would be around 4-8
degrees above normal for late September. Beyond that, there is
considerable uncertainty in the track of the tropical system, its
strength, and in particular how far northwest it moves. These
factors will be influenced by upper level steering flow, and also by
the strength of the ridging over the Great Lakes. At this time, all
model and ensemble guidance suggests that impacts to the ILN
forecast area would be minor -- with somewhat-increased easterly
winds and maybe a day or two with some chances for rain. Confidence
is much too low to even pinpoint a specific day or location where
this may occur, although chances will be higher with southeastward
extent. Otherwise, in terms of sensible weather impacts, this system
will lead to a greater probability of increased cloud cover and
lower temperatures as the week progresses.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Cu and high clouds will be present at times through the TAF period.
Dry conditions are expected. There will be some fog potential
overnight.
OUTLOOK...No significant weather is expected at this time.
&&
.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...
NEAR TERM...
SHORT TERM...
LONG TERM...Hatzos
AVIATION...

NWS ILN Office Area Forecast Discussion