Range, Wisconsin Weather Forecast Discussion

614
FXUS63 KMPX 261735
AFDMPX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1235 PM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Seasonably warm & dry weather continues through the end of the
  month.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 239 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
Little in the way of fog development tonight, owing to slightly
drier air filtering into the region behind a dry frontal
passage & the fact that daytime temperatures overachieved into
the 80s yesterday. Sunny, warm, & dry weather continues through
this weekend with the only real weather of note being another
dry frontal passage Saturday resulting to a few hours of breezy
winds in its wake. Seasonably warm temperatures continue with
temperatures generally 5 to 10 degrees above normal, although
slightly cooler temperatures are expected behind the front
Saturday afternoon through Sunday morning.
The warm & dry pattern becomes even more pronounced early next
week to end the month as upper level ridging strengthens over the
midwest. Ensembles show temperature anomalies peaking around 15
to 20 degrees above normal Monday & Tuesday, meaning highs well
into the 80s look likely across the area. Most guidance
continues to depict a frontal passage for the end of next week,
which will at least temper the the warm pattern somewhat,
although ensemble guidance still keeps temperature anomalies
above normal next weekend & into early October. At least a
chance for showers & thunderstorms looks likely with this
frontal passage sometime Thursday into Friday, although models
remain spread on just how widespread or soaking this rain may be
along the front.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1231 PM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
Minimal changes to the TAFs with timing for the dry fropa
tonight changing little from the 12z TAFs. Only airport with
some sub-VFR concern would be EAU. The front comes through late
enough where they could get a little fog/br in the morning
before the fropa. In addition, a brief MVFR cig will be
possible out there as mixing gets going behind the front
Saturday morning. Otherwise, this is a pretty uneventful TAF
period.
KMSP...FROPA timing looks to be between 10z and 12z Saturday.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
SUN...VFR. Wind S 5-10 kts.
MON...VFR. Wind SSE 5-15 kts.
TUE...VFR. Wind SE 5-15 kts.
&&
.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...ETA
AVIATION...MPG

NWS MPX Office Area Forecast Discussion