641 FXUS64 KOHX 072333 AFDOHXArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 633 PM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
...New UPDATE...
.KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 633 PM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
- Dry weather has returned to Middle TN and will stick around through at least the next 7 days.
- Gradual warming each day with highs pushing back into the mid 80s to lower 90s by mid week.
&&
.UPDATE... Issued at 633 PM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
High pressure is set up to our north and that has brought great weather today. That quiet weather will continue into the overnight and this week. Northerly winds have ushered in drier air and fog is not expected to be a concern tonight. Lows will chilly falling into the 40s for most.
&&
.SHORT TERM... (Rest of today through Monday) Issued at 1141 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
After quite the foggy start to the day, northerly winds have picked up enough to help clear things out. Cold air advection continues today over Middle TN though the trough that has been over us for several days now is becoming less amplified as it shifts east. Have brought afternoon temperatures below NBM guidance again today to account for continued CAA, though today will be warmer than yesterday with much more sunlight present. Highs will warm into the mid to upper 70s this afternoon with a steady northerly wind. Dew points temperatures will progressively fall through today, too, making for a very pleasant and comfortable afternoon. Lows will drop into the upper 40s/low 50s tonight under clear skies. Areas of patchy fog will be possible again, though not as widespread as winds will stay near 5mph overnight. Monday looks great with temperatures warming into the low 80s and passing high clouds during the afternoon.
&&
.LONG TERM... (Monday Night through next Sunday) Issued at 1141 AM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
The long term forecast looks hot and dry. Temperatures will eventually return to the upper 80s to low 90s by the end of this week. There will be a weak disturbance aloft that moves through Tuesday, but at this time, only an increase in cloud coverage looks to accompany it. A large ridge building across the western US will keep surface high pressure near or over us the whole week. As this feature continues its trek east, temperatures will gradually increase each day and keep rain and storm chances to nearly 0%. This is not good news for our growing drought conditions, and relief does not look to come around anytime soon. The CPC has our area outlined for continued below-normal precip beyond the 7-day forecast period.
&&
.AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 629 PM CDT Sun Sep 7 2025
VFR conditions through the period. Winds will lessen to around 5 knots overnight, with increases west of the plateau to around 10 knots around sunrise. SKC ceilings prevail.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 52 81 57 86 / 0 0 0 0 Clarksville 48 81 54 86 / 0 0 0 0 Crossville 47 75 52 78 / 0 0 0 0 Columbia 49 80 55 85 / 0 0 0 0 Cookeville 48 76 54 80 / 0 0 0 0 Jamestown 47 75 51 79 / 0 0 0 0 Lawrenceburg 48 79 55 83 / 0 0 0 0 Murfreesboro 49 81 56 85 / 0 0 0 0 Waverly 48 80 54 85 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. &&
$$
UPDATE.......Mueller SHORT TERM...Baggett LONG TERM....Baggett AVIATION.....Holley
NWS OHX Office Area Forecast Discussion