Oshkosh, Nebraska Weather Forecast Discussion

082
FXUS63 KLBF 300548
AFDLBF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1248 AM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Temperatures remain above average this week, with highs in
  the 80s expected each day.
- Breezy conditions continue through Tuesday, with strong
  southerly winds gusting up to 30 mph. Gusty winds across the
  east on Wednesday.
- Little to no precipitation is expected this week. Chances for
  precipitation increase this weekend.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 246 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
An upper trough axis was currently located from eastern UT
through NM. The upper flow across western Nebraska was south
southwesterly with surface low pressure across WY into CO, with
a surface pressure gradient across Nebraska. Southerly winds
were gusting as high as 25 to 30 mph.
Tonight, an increase in mid and upper level moisture, as the
lower levels below H7 remain very dry. Lows tonight mild from
the mid 50s to lower 60s, as southerly winds gust to 25 mph
across north central Nebraska.
Tuesday, the surface trough will be positioned across eastern WY
and eastern CO, with a surface pressure gradient across SD, NE
and KS. This will maintain a breezy southerly wind with gusts up
to 30 mph. Highs climbing into the low to mid 80s. Morning
cloudiness in the east, then mostly sunny.
Tuesday night, an increase in atmospheric moisture as a weak
upper trough moves in. Some of the CAMs as well as the NAM, GFS
and ECMWF indicate some very light QPFs possible in the east.
With lower levels below 750mb still fairly dry, will keep a dry
forecast, although sprinkles or isolated light rain showers may
need to be introduced Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
Issued at 246 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
Wednesday into Thursday, an upper trough will remain across the
Pacific Northwest, while upper ridging builds across the Central
and Eastern U.S. By Friday into Saturday, the upper trough will
advance into the Great Basin. Highs will continue to reach into
the 80s Wednesday through Friday, with a cold front moving in
Saturday. Slight chance to low end chance POPs begin Friday
night and continue through Monday. Highs in the 70s Saturday and
Sunday eventually forecast to cool into the 60s by next Monday
as cooler Canadian high pressure builds in.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1245 AM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
VFR conditions will continue through the forecast period. The
main aviation concerns will be gusty winds with LLWS concerns
during the overnight periods.
Strengthening flow off the surface tonight should yield some
modest LLWS at Valentine. Eventually, winds will translate to
the surface after sunrise Tuesday with gusts quickly climbing
into the 25 to 30 knot range out of the south. Winds should
again relax in the evening but an even stronger LLJ should
present more LLWS at VTN, with magnitudes of 40 to 45 knots
appearing increasingly probable.
&&
.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Roberg
LONG TERM...Roberg
AVIATION...NMJ

NWS LBF Office Area Forecast Discussion