239 FXUS64 KCRP 110529 AFDCRPArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 1229 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025
...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...
.KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1226 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025
- Potential for hazardous beach conditions due to minor coastal flooding, continues Saturday, and possibly through Sunday.
- Moderate Rip Current Risk will continue Saturday with a High Risk possible on Sunday.
- Elevated fire weather conditions possible Saturday and Sunday.
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 1226 AM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025
Minor Coastal Flooding is a little less certain for Saturday night and Sunday night during times of high tide. This is due to winds around 10 knots over the Coastal Waters shifting more to the east and southeast, which is less conducive for water run up. However, the swell periods are forecast to increase to around 8 seconds by Sunday, which may give the water just enough momentum to reach the dunes during high tide. The P-ETSS continues to show high tides over 2ft MSL Saturday night and Sunday night, as well. Confidence in this occurring is low to medium (20-40%) through Sunday night, then decreases as swell periods drop to around 4 seconds early next week.
As for the Rip Current Risk, since the winds will be along the shore and the new moon is days away, the risk will be kept at moderate levels through Saturday. As the winds become more southeast Saturday night through Sunday combined with increasing swell periods to around 8 seconds, the Rip Current Risk could increase to a High Risk. But more likely will continue at a Moderate Risk due to lighter wind speeds.
Weather wise, the high pressure aloft will keep rain chances very low (
NWS CRP Office Area Forecast Discussion