Montrose, Pennsylvania Weather Forecast Discussion

476
FXUS61 KBGM 180633
AFDBGM
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
233 AM EDT Thu Sep 18 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
Conditions will warm up Thursday before a cold front brings cooler
air to the region Friday and this weekend. There will be a chance
for frost, especially in the higher elevations, Friday night. Warmer
weather then returns next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
A fairly dry cold front will approach the region from the north
late tonight and into early Friday morning. While moisture is
limited, a few spotty showers will be possible across North-
Central NY.
Today`s temperatures warm and maintain above average in the
upper 70s to low 80s. Overnight, before the front from the north
passes through, mostly clear skies and calm winds will allow for
radiational cooling and patchy fog in the valleys and maybe a
few hilltops, which will likely develop mainly for the Southern
Tier and NE PA as cloud cover increases in the evening hours
for areas in Central NY. Any fog that develops will likely
dissipate faster than the usual sunrise timing, as winds pick up
ahead of the front.
Heading into Friday, conditions will be cooler yet around
average for temperatures this time of year. With a much drier
and cooler airmass now overhead, Friday night conditions are
ideal for strong radiational cooling with clear skies and calm
winds. Temperatures could have potential of dropping into the
upper 30s to low 40s, with potential for evening colder
temperatures falling into the mid 30s, leading to possible
patchy frost development for mainly northern Oneida County and
the Catskills.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
Saturday will be similar in the daytime as Friday; around
average high temperatures and dry conditions. However, with the
trough shifting eastward, colder overnight temperatures shifted
eastward as well. There may be some areas in the higher
elevations that could develop frost, but confidence is not too
high, and we`ll monitor model trends for any changes.
Overhead ridging Sunday will lead to warming temperatures, but
the surface high begins pushing east. It continues to look dry
through the end of the Short Term period, with the next incoming
system, and higher chances for rain, heading into the Long Term
period.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A trough/low will dig across the Central US and will break the
current pattern allowing for a better moisture stream into the
region. There is uncertainty though with where this trough will
be located and what it means for shower chances. Given this
uncertainty, NBM guidance was favored as it has slight to low
chance PoPs (

NWS BGM Office Area Forecast Discussion