Manchester Village, Vermont Weather Forecast Discussion

878
FXUS61 KALY 300549
AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Albany NY
149 AM EDT Tue Sep 30 2025
.UPDATE...
As of 9:20 PM EDT...Quick update to drop temperatures through
the next several hours, as with just the think high clouds
around many areas have radiatively cooled to 4-8 degrees below
the previous hourly temperature forecasts. Little change to
overnight lows, as dewpoints remain mainly on track, though. We
did add some more patchy fog based on the current trends.
Otherwise, previous forecast remains on track with more details
in the previous discussion below...
&&
.SYNOPSIS...
Dry conditions are expected through next weekend as high
pressure remains in control. A cold front will drop southward
Tuesday, allowing for cooler temperatures during the mid to late
week. Warmer weather returns for the upcoming weekend.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Clear to partly cloudy tonight as high clouds persist,
especially areas from I-90 south. These high clouds may keep
overnight min temps a bit milder for these areas along with
slightly less coverage of fog. For areas north of I-90, slightly
cooler as clouds remain thinner, and also a bit greater chance
of at least patchy fog formation. Lows in the 40s across
northern areas and 50s elsewhere.
A cold front will be dropping southward during Tuesday. Moisture
will remain limited, so no precipitation is expected. However,
winds will increase in the wake of the front and may become
gusty Tuesday afternoon, especially where channeled
north/northeast flow develops across portions of the upper
Hudson River Valley, where some gusts up to 25-30 mph could
occur late in the day. High temps mainly in the 70s, except 60s
for northern areas.
Cool and breezy for Tuesday night into Wednesday, with
north/northeast winds occasionally gusting up to 25 mph,
especially within the Hudson River Valley due to channeled flow.
Lows in the mid 30s across the southern Adirondacks, to the
lower/mid 40s elsewhere. Highs Wednesday ranging from the mid
50s to lower/mid 60s. Patchy clouds may be around Wednesday
morning before clearing in the afternoon.
Widespread frost/freeze potential for Wednesday night as high
pressure nears the region amid a dry airmass. Lows should be in
the mid 20s to mid/upper 30s. Frost Advisories/Freeze Warnings
will likely be needed for many areas outside of the southwest
Adirondacks where the growing season ends Oct 1. Highs Thursday
in the 50s/60s.
Chilly again Thursday night with some areas of frost possible.
Otherwise gradual warming trend begins Friday and continues
through Sunday. Lows Friday morning mainly in the 30s. Max temps
in the 60s/70s Friday, and 70s to around 80 Saturday/Sunday.
Overnight lows mainly in the 40s to around 50.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Through 06z Wednesday...Thick cirrus canopy continues to
overspread ALB, POU, and PSF tonight while the canopy thins out
towards GFL. Given clearer skies at GFL and temperatures cooling
towards the respective dew point, patchy fog has developed
resulting in intermittent IFR vis. Continue to show prevailing IFR
vis at GFL with a TEMPO for intermittent improvements to MVFR
vis. Less confidence at PSF for fog given thicker cirrus canopy
but given latest dew point depression of 2 degrees, maintained
a TEMPO group for IFR vis through 10 UTC before prevailing IFR
vis for the early A.M hours.
Any fog dissipates early morning then VFR flying conditions through
the end of the TAF period. Near calm winds through early
morning, then winds become N/NE by 14-16 UTC and turn breezy
with sustained winds 8-12 kt with gusts up to 15-20kts
(strongest at GFL and ALB due to enhanced channel flow) through
early evening. While gusts weaken by 00 - 03 UTC, sustained
northerly winds remain near 5-10kts through the end of the TAF
period. Low-level wind shear may need to be added in future
updates (mainly GFL and ALB) for the evening hours as a cold
front pushes through the region and winds in the 1-2kft layer
near 25-30kts.
Outlook...
Tuesday Night: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night-Saturday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
&&
.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.
&&
$$
UPDATE...Main
SYNOPSIS...KL/Webb
DISCUSSION...KL
AVIATION...Speciale

NWS ALY Office Area Forecast Discussion