Madrid Nebraska Weather Forecast Discussion

188
FXUS63 KLBF 092035
AFDLBF
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
335 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Patchy fog development is expected across southwest and into
portions of north central Nebraska Friday morning.
- Outside of some isolated showers Friday night, dry conditions are
expected for the most part though Saturday.
- Mild temperatures continue through Saturday with highs generally 5
to 10 degrees above normal.
- A slight cooldown along with the next significant precipitation
potential arrives on Sunday before temperatures return to near to
slightly above normals with isolated shower potential through mid-
week.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 330 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025
Upper level ridging will allow for surface high pressure to build
across the central US through Friday keeping conditions dry for the
most part through this timeframe. The exception will be on Friday
night as a weak shortwave trough brings some isolated rain shower to
the region. Limited instability will not be conducive to
thunderstorms and QPF is low at this time, amounting to less
than a tenth of an inch.
For tonight...increased low level moisture across southwest and into
portions of north central Nebraska combined with light winds and
mostly clear skies will create a favorable environment for fog
development once again. At this time, anticipating fog to remain
patchy with visibilities remaining above 3 miles. However, the
latest probabilities suggest seeing less than 3 miles is near 50
percent at times. Therefore, would not be surprised to see some
visibilities lower than 3 miles potentially as low as 1 mile across
portions of the area. Be prepared for rapidly changing conditions if
traveling Friday morning. Due to the light and relatively patchy
nature, fog should dissipate by mid morning giving way to a mostly
clear forecast.
Warm air advection into the region will push warmer 850 mb
temperatures in the 15 to 22 C range into central Nebraska. This
warmer airmass will bring mild surface highs to the area through at
least the end of the week. Highs on Friday will easily rise into the
mid to upper 70s with overnight low temperatures on Friday night
only dropping into the low to mid 50s.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 330 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025
High pressure will eventually slide off to the east on Saturday
allowing for a more active weather pattern to return beginning on
Saturday night. Near daily rain showers return on Saturday night
lasting into early next week. While previous forecasts suggested a
better chance of rain on Tuesday, the latest runs have backed off on
this solution and isolated showers will result in limited QPF across
the region.
Continued warm air advection into the region will keep highs on
Saturday and Sunday well above normals with most locations rising
into the 70s to low 80s on Saturday and into the mid 70s to low 80s
on Sunday.
For temperatures beyond Sunday, a weak cold front on Sunday night
will drop highs on Monday and Tuesday to below normal in the upper
50s to low 60s. Temperatures will return to near to slight above
normals (low 70s) by mid-week. For lows, temperatures will start off
in the low 50s to low 60s on Saturday night before falling into the
low 30s (northwest) to low 40s (south and east) on Sunday night. At
this time no frost/freeze headlines are in place, but this will be
something we will be monitoring in the coming days. Lows for the
remainder of the extended period only fall into the 40s, which is a
few degrees above normals.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1229 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025
Skies will gradually clear through the afternoon becoming mostly
sunny for the late afternoon and evening hours. Plenty of low level
moisture will result in a return to some patchy fog across portions
of southwest Nebraska early Friday morning. At this time, any
development should be light with visibility restrictions only down
to 5 miles expected. Will continue to monitor this overnight and
make adjustments as needed. Otherwise, fog will remain south of KVTN
with VFR conditions expected through Friday morning after fog lifts
by mid-morning.
&&
.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Kulik
LONG TERM...Kulik
AVIATION...Kulik

NWS LBF Office Area Forecast Discussion