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Kirkwood Illinois Weather Forecast Discussion

094
FXUS63 KDVN 102311
AFDDVN

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL 611 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Areas of fog possible south of I-80 tonight.

- Warm fall weather is expected this weekend into early next week with highs in the 60s and 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Issued at 200 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

A large area of high pressure will build into the Upper Midwest and western Great Lakes area tonight, leading to light N to NE winds and cool temperatures. Forecast lows for eastern Iowa and northwest Illinois are in the upper 30s to mid 40s (coldest along/north of Highway 20). Patchy to Areas of fog may develop after 9-10 PM tonight south of I-80 where winds are forecast to be light & variable and surface dewpoints will be holding in the mid 40s to mid 50s. The HRRR and RAP are highlighting the area around Burlington and points to the south/southwest as the most likely locations to have a period of fog, which could be locally dense.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Issued at 200 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

A pleasant weekend is in store, with temperatures in the upper 60s to lower 70s Saturday and lower 70s (north) to upper 70s central and south Sunday. Through Sunday afternoon, dry weather is confidently forecast, as a ridge of high pressure moves through the region. Breezy conditions (SE 15-30 mph) combined with well above normal temperatures on Sunday will lead to elevated fire weather conditions for unharvested fields, especially NW of the Quad Cities. Following the high pressure ridge, Sunday night and Monday may see some shower and thunderstorm activity as a shortwave moves through the Upper Midwest. The latest NBM has 20-40% chances for rain north and west of the Quad Cities.

Looking Tuesday through Thursday, another passing high pressure system at the surface is forecast by the bulk of available guidance, resulting in pleasant temperatures in the 60s and 70s each day, and lows in the 40s and 50s. There could be a few bouts of passing showers as upper level energy moves east over the broad upper ridge which is indicated by models over the southern CONUS.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY/... Issued at 611 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

VFR conditions will likely persist throughout the TAF period. Winds this evening will begin from the north in the wake of a weak front that passed through earlier in the day, slowly turning more northeasterly late tonight, becoming easterly in the late morning/afternoon hours Saturday. Winds should remain less than 10 knots. Confidence in fog at BRL has continued to decrease, so have kept any visibility reductions out of the BRL TAF. If any fog does develop there, dry air filtering in from the north could make it only for a brief period of time.

&&

.DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IA...None. IL...None. MO...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Uttech LONG TERM...Ervin AVIATION...Schultz

NWS DVN Office Area Forecast Discussion

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