Johnson City, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

626
FXUS64 KEWX 150607
AFDEWX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
107 AM CDT Mon Sep 15 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Above normal afternoon high temperatures continue this week.
- Low chances for rain and storms Thursday-Saturday but most
  will likely remain dry.
&&
.SHORT TERM (THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)...
On Monday, weak mid-level ridging will strengthen over the
region, but influences from a westward moving 700mb inverted
trough may spark a shower or two over the Coastal Plains in the
afternoon and early evening. Large scale ridging should still
act to suppress much of any convection from this trough and
afternoon highs will again climb into the mid 90s. Tuesday looks
dry for all locations as high pressure remains in control.
Expect highs in the mid 90s once again.
&&
.LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...
By midweek, a long wave trough will dive southward out of the
Rockies into the High Plains. There should be just enough mid-
level lift and influence from this trough for some showers and
storms to develop, albeit rather sparsely, across the region
Thursday-Saturday. Weak divergence aloft and decent surface
moisture will result in this activity developing each afternoon
during peak daytime heating. Temperatures will remain above
normal for mid to late September, in the mid 90s. There is still
no sign of our first true Fall cold front, so for the
foreseeable future, expected warmer than normal temperatures.
&&
.AVIATION (06Z MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...
VFR flying conditions prevail overnight through Monday night. HREF
has less than 10 percent for MVFR CIGs and moisture profiles agree.
Maintained FEW-SCT010-025 for early Monday morning and introduced
for late Monday night. ISOLD SHRA may approach the I-35 sites early
Monday evening. However, PROBS are too to mention. S to SE winds
prevail with the strongest winds 7 to 14 KTS late morning through
evening.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              71  94  71  95 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  69  94  69  95 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     68  94  68  95 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            68  91  69  91 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           73  93  72  93 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        70  93  70  93 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             68  93  67  93 /   0   0   0  10
San Marcos Muni Airport        68  95  68  96 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   68  94  69  94 /   0   0   0  10
San Antonio Intl Airport       72  94  72  94 /   0   0   0  10
Stinson Muni Airport           71  96  71  96 /   0   0   0  10
&&
.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...MMM
LONG TERM...MMM
AVIATION...04

NWS EWX Office Area Forecast Discussion