Jasper, Alabama Weather Forecast Discussion

088
FXUS64 KBMX 291100
AFDBMX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
600 AM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 600 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2025
- No hazardous weather impacts are anticipated the next seven
   days. However, drought conditions are most likely going to
   increase across the area.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 1220 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2025
High pressure will remain in control of the short term. We do have
an easterly flow across the area. With temperatures in the mid to
upper 80s, with a few low 90s in the southwest, there is a minimal
chance at seeing a brief shower anywhere across the area today and
Tuesday. The better chances will be on Tuesday afternoon. However,
the chances are generally only 10 percent that any of the showers
would even provide enough rain to measure. We should at least see some
additional cloud cover on Tuesday during the afternoon.
16
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through next Sunday)
Issued at 1220 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2025
Models are finally beginning to pick up on the more eastward
progression of the tropical mischief. This will result in fairly
dry and warm forecast for the next week. A trough still sets up
over the Southeast by middle of the week, but right now the axis
will be well to our south. Finally by the weekend, we may see some
southerly flow develop and potentially lift the trough and rain
chances further north, but still alot of time before that becomes
more apparent. With the dry weather expected, look for drought
conditions to increase through the end of the week.
16
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 600 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2025
VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period with northeasterly
winds of 5 to 10 knots.
16
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
MinRH values will remain in the upper 30s in the southwest to low
50s in the east through Tuesday. With the eastward trend of the
topical mischief in the Atlantic, MinRH values will decrease now
Wednesday through at least Friday, with afternoon readings in the
mid 30s to low 40s. We will need to keep an eye on this period to
see if there any chance that these numbers decrease even more.
Rain chances in the long-term remain limited, and drought
conditions are expected to continue.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     87  63  86  62 /  10  10  10  10
Anniston    85  64  85  63 /  10  10  10  10
Birmingham  88  65  87  66 /  10  10  10  10
Tuscaloosa  90  66  90  67 /  10  10  10  10
Calera      89  65  88  65 /  10  10  10  10
Auburn      85  66  84  64 /  10  10  10  10
Montgomery  88  65  87  66 /  10  10  10  10
Troy        86  65  85  64 /  10  10  10  10
&&
.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...16
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...16

NWS BMX Office Area Forecast Discussion