Irma Louisiana Weather Forecast Discussion

656
FXUS64 KSHV 091100
AFDSHV
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
600 AM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1153 PM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025
- Post-frontal air mass will continue to slowly filter south
   over the next 24 hours with dew points dropping into the 50s.
- Temperatures will only see a modest dip behind the front with
   most locations topping out somewhere in the 80s through Friday.
- Upper-level ridge will expand back over the region this weekend
   with warmer temperatures and southerly winds returning.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1153 PM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025
The push of noticeably drier air behind the recent cold front has
been slightly delayed, but the latest sfc obs indicate dew points
in the 50s just north of our region. These lower dew points will
gradually spread farther south over the next 24 hours with a more
pleasant feel to the air by this time tomorrow night. Temperatures
will respond accordingly as well as we should manage to shave off
a few degrees Thursday afternoon as compared to the past several
days as highs will largely range through the 80s. Overnight lows
will be even more pleasant as this dry air tends to cool rapidly
after sunset with 50s expected virtually areawide by daybreak on
Friday morning.
NW flow aloft will maintain slightly milder conditions through
Friday, but the upper-level ridge will really begin to expand back
eastward into our region throughout this weekend. That will result
in rising temperatures once again, especially through the early to
middle part of next week. Look for temperatures to nudge back into
the mid and upper 80s with some lower 90s also creeping back into
the forecast for next week. Unfortunately, this pattern will only
continue to support the status quo in the rain department and that
does not bode well for our expanding drought conditions across the
region.
/19/
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 558 AM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025
Not seeing any signs of those MVFR/IFR ceilings across NE TX this
morning so removed that likelihood for the 12z TAF package.
Otherwise look for post-frontal VFR conditions across our entire
airspace through this 24hr TAF package. Only dealing with some
high AC and Cirrus across our airspace attm and that should be
moving out of our region later today. Look for NE winds near
10kts with some higher gusts possible before winds becoming
lighter this evening.
13
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1153 PM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  88  59  86  60 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  85  56  84  57 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  81  53  81  55 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  85  56  85  58 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  81  51  81  54 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  87  59  86  59 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  86  57  85  57 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  90  60  88  59 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...19
AVIATION...13

NWS SHV Office Area Forecast Discussion