Humboldt, Kansas Weather Forecast Discussion

720
FXUS63 KICT 231828
AFDICT
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
128 PM CDT Tue Sep 23 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Another round of showers and occasional storms for late tonight
into Wednesday morning, flooding risk is low
- A long extended dry weather pattern is expected for the region
beginning Thursday and continuing through middle of next week
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 122 PM CDT Tue Sep 23 2025
Current satellite water vapor imagery shows main upper level wave
over Colorado. This system will migrate slowly eastward across
Kansas for tonight into Wednesday, and bring another round of
precipitation to the region. Predominate precipitation will be wrap
around rain showers with some embedded thunderstorms late tonight.
The activity will linger over south central/southeast Kansas
through the morning hours on Wednesday then shift east into
Missouri.
Meanwhile a weather pattern change will be in store for the region
in the wake of this departing system for Thursday into next week.
Models and associated ensembles show upper level ridge amplifying
over the Rockies then shifting slowly eastward into the
northern/central plains. This will result in an extended dry
weather pattern with daytime highs remaining around normal for
Kansas. The better quality low level moisture will be shoved
well south and remain blocked from returning northward by
surface high pressure camping out from the Great Lakes back into
eastern Kansas.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1255 PM CDT Tue Sep 23 2025
MVFR to IFR conditions are expected through most of the upcoming
TAF period. The bulk of SHRA/TSRA has pushed east of the
terminals with patchy drizzle and occasional showers remaining
across the area. These conditions will persist into the evening
and overnight hours before the next band of SHRA moves across
the area from NW to SE. Included a PROB30 group at each site to
account for the most likely time window for this secondary band
of SHRA. Winds will remain generally from the east or northeast
at 8-12 kt.
&&
.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...CDJ
AVIATION...BRF

NWS ICT Office Area Forecast Discussion