Hatchechubbee, Alabama Weather Forecast Discussion

475
FXUS64 KBMX 251721
AFDBMX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1221 PM CDT Thu Sep 25 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 1213 PM CDT THU SEP 25 2025
Organized showers and thunderstorms will remain in the forecast for
much of the short-term, as the deep trough moving through the region
starts to become closed off. As a whole, this new closed low won`t
effect the forecast too much, but it could result in more organized
rain chances lingering through the weekend. This will be highly
dependent upon how far south the low moves, so the current forecast
will maintain just some scattered showers into Saturday.
The strongest cold air advection won`t really take place until
Friday night, with lows tonight remaining in the mid to upper-60s.
However, they should fall tomorrow night into the upper-50s and low-
60s. Otherwise, highs tomorrow afternoon will range in the mid-70s
and 80s.
/44/
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1213 PM CDT THU SEP 25 2025
To be very honest with you, the long-term forecast right now is
essentially throwing darts at a dartboard. However, there is good
reason for that. Based on the overnight guidance, the long-term
could be heavily influence by Invest 94L in the central Caribbean.
Guidance has been indicating Invest 94L becoming more organized, and
making some kind of landfall along the Atlantic states by the middle
of the new workweek. Nothing here is set in stone; from time,
intensity, to location. The goalposts are still as large as the
stadium itself. With that being said, given the current upper-
level pattern, any kind of landfall near the Carolina`s could
potentially pull the remnants of Invest 94L to the west. This
would ultimately dictate our temperatures, and rain chances from
Wednesday onward.
Until guidance starts to come into better agreement regarding Invest
94L, look for the current forecast to remain dry, with afternoon
highs slowly rebounding in the mid to upper-80s area-wide.
/44/
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1213 PM CDT THU SEP 25 2025
Showers and thunderstorms remain possible today, but will
generally diminish in activity past 26/00z. However, low CIGS and
fog are expected past 26/06z, with almost all terminals expected
to fall into LIFR category. The fog and low cloud will generally
begin to mix by tomorrow morning, with most terminals rebounding
to VFR category by 26/16z.
/44/
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
MinRH values will begin to drop by Saturday, as dry conditions are
expected to return to the region. Drought conditions may slightly
improve with recent rainfall, but will likely remain ongoing for
much of the region. Given the lack of rain anticipated the next
week, drought conditions may slowly begin to expand across the
region once again.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     63  82  61  84 /  10  20   0  10
Anniston    66  82  63  83 /  20  20  10  10
Birmingham  66  83  62  85 /  10  20   0  10
Tuscaloosa  65  85  62  87 /  10  20   0   0
Calera      65  85  62  86 /  10  20   0   0
Auburn      68  83  65  85 /  30  30  10  10
Montgomery  68  85  64  86 /  30  20   0   0
Troy        67  83  63  85 /  50  30  10  10
&&
.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM.../44/
LONG TERM..../44/
AVIATION.../44/

NWS BMX Office Area Forecast Discussion