Gulf Shores, Alabama Weather Forecast Discussion

591
FXUS64 KMOB 302328
AFDMOB
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile AL
628 PM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
...New Aviation...
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1219 PM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
Our focus through the forecast is in the lower and middle levels
as upper high pressure will remain for the most part. A strong
surface ridge will grip the southeast states Wednesday night into
Thursday as Hurricane Imelda pulls eastward over the western
Atlantic. This ridge will bring increasing easterly winds the
latter half of the week, especially for our coastal communities.
Dry conditions will persist through Friday outside of very
isolated light showers popping up from time to time. Better rain
chances will occur over the weekend into early next week as a
series of weak low-level easterly waves move across the northern
Gulf, especially if a possible weak surface low pressure area
forms over the north-central Gulf and creeps northward. For now,
we are expecting isolated to scattered showers and storms south of
U.S. Highway 84 Saturday through noon Sunday. Isolated to
scattered showers and storms will follow Sunday afternoon through
Tuesday across most of the forecast area, possibly becoming likely
closer to the coast. At this time, the bulk of the heavy rain
will remain out over the Gulf.
High temperatures in the middle to upper 80s Wednesday and
Thursday will dip slightly into the lower to middle 80s Friday
through the weekend. Highs should then rebound into the middle 80s
all areas Monday and Tuesday. Low temperature tonight will remain
well above normal(6-11 degrees), ranging from 65 to 70 degrees
inland with lower 70s along the immediate coast. Lows will trend
downward through midweek, with inland lows Thursday night ranging
from 58 to 63 degrees with middle 60s along the immediate coast.
Lows should then rebound into the middle 60s to lower 70s Saturday
night through the remainder of the forecast.
Beach Forecast: A LOW rip current risk is forecast through
Wednesday night, followed by a rapid jump to HIGH on Thursday as
increasing easterly winds and building surf impact the beaches.
The risk will remain HIGH through the remainder of the week as a
strong surface ridge grips the southeast states. /22
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 625 PM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
VFR conditions under north to northeasterly winds expected through
the forecast. A few showers may affect coastal areas Wednesday,
but are expected to remain south of area TAF sites.
/16
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1219 PM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
Small craft advisories will be required Thursday through Saturday
night as moderate to strong easterly flow develops due to strong
surface ridge building across the southeast states. Seas will
trend much higher, and could be as high as 8 to 10 feet well
offshore beginning late Thursday night. Until then, a light to
occasionally moderate northeasterly flow prevails through midweek.
/22
&&
.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
FL...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
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NWS mob Office Area Forecast Discussion