Elyria, Ohio Weather Forecast Discussion

570
FXUS61 KCLE 271123
AFDCLE
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
723 AM EDT Sat Sep 27 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will build across the region and will remain in
control this weekend. A weak cold front will drop south across
the Great Lakes on Tuesday. A strong Canadian high pressure
system will build southward across the Great Lakes and Upper Ohio
Valley for the middle and end of next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
We have some beautiful weather in the forecast this weekend and for
the end of September. An analysis of the upper level weather
pattern shows a very slow moving mid level trough over the
Southeastern U.S. and a slight upper level ridge over the the
Great Lakes this morning. The main westerlies or steering flow
remains locked in place across southern Canada. The mid/upper
level trough over the southeastern U.S. will slowly weaken and
open up as a wave as it moves towards the Carolinas and Mid-
Atlantic Coast today into Sunday. An upper level ridge will over
the Central Plains and Midwest will move eastward into the Ohio
Valley and lower Great Lakes later today into Sunday. This upper
level ridge will dominate our weather pattern and bring very
nice conditions this weekend into early next week.
We are seeing mostly clear skies this morning to start off our
Saturday morning and expect plenty of sunshine all day today.
There will be some high level clouds or cirrus drifting
through our eastern Ohio and northwest Pennsylvania skies today.
But overall mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies will be around
today along with warmer temperatures this afternoon. High temps
will range from the upper 70s to lower 80s areawide. Tonight
will be more of the same with clear skies and overnight temps
back down in the lower to middle/upper 50s. The weather on
Sunday will feel a little more like Summer than Fall across the
region with Sunny skies and afternoon temperatures climbing into
the lower and middle 80s.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
An elongated upper level ridge will continue to remain over the
Ohio Valley and Great Lakes region for early this week. At the
surface, there is also a weak area of high pressure over the
region that will keep winds light from the east or northeast
around 5 mph. Sunny skies will continue on Monday and
temperatures back in the upper 70s to lower 80s for afternoon
highs. By Tuesday, the center of the upper level ridge or "dome
of very nice weather" will be near the Chicago area and an upper
level trough develops towards far eastern Canada and far
northern New England region. A weak, dry cold front will drop
southward across the Great Lakes on Tuesday. The only weather
that we will see from this frontal passage is an uptick breezy
or gusty northeasterly winds later in the day. More sunshine
will be around Tuesday with high temps back in the upper 70s to
lower 80s.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A strong Canadian surface high pressure system will build
across the Great Lakes into the Northeast U.S. on Wednesday and
remain over the region through Friday. Winds will be a little
breezy and gusty at times from the East-Northeast 10 to 20 mph
on Wednesday, especially areas near the lakeshore. Temperatures
will also be cooler and closer to seasonable averages Wednesday
through the end of the week. Afternoon high temps will range
from the middle 60s to middle 70s. The cooler weather will be
more noticeable at night and early morning with overnight temps
dropping into the 40s areawide. The forecast will continue to
be dry with more measurable rainfall expected through the end
of next week.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z Saturday THROUGH Wednesday/...
A brief period of non-VFR conditions may develop at KCAK/KYNG during
the first hour or two of the TAF period, but generally expect
VFR through 12Z Sunday. There`s a small chance of some patchy
fog at eastern inland terminals late tonight into Sunday
morning, however confidence is too low to include any sub-VFR
conditions in the TAFs at this point. Winds will largely be
light and variable across the area, however winds will likely
become northwesterly at KCLE/KERI and increase to 5 to 10 knots
for a period this afternoon into this evening before shifting to
the south tonight.
Outlook...Mainly VFR conditions are expected through Wednesday.
&&
.MARINE...
Calm marine conditions with variable flow and winds 10 knots or
less are anticipated as high pressure maintains influence over
Lake Erie through Monday. Northeast winds will slowly begin to
increase throughout the day Tuesday as Canadian high pressure
builds south into the region and a tropical system churns off
the East Coast. Winds will increase to 15 to 25 knots late
Tuesday night and possibly increase to 25 to 30 knots on
Wednesday. Marine headlines will likely be needed late Tuesday
through Wednesday.
&&
.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...77
NEAR TERM...77
SHORT TERM...77
LONG TERM...77
AVIATION...15
MARINE...15

NWS CLE Office Area Forecast Discussion