Elm Mott, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

109
FXUS64 KFWD 301017
AFDFWD
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
517 AM CDT Tue Sep 30 2025
...New Aviation...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Clouds clear later today with quiet weather expected into the
  weekend. Temperatures will continue to run 5-7 degrees above
  normal through the week.
&&
.SHORT TERM... /Issued 1126 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025/
/Overnight through Tuesday Night/
Water vapor imagery shows a trough axis spreading through West
Texas at this hour with a tap into Pacific moisture resulting in
thick high cloud cover across the region. A few light radar
returns associated with this area of ascent are noted but most if
not all of this precipitation is evaporating before hitting the
ground. This disturbance will continue to move east overnight with
cloud cover clearing from west to east through the day Tuesday.
With mostly sunny skies expected, high temperatures will climb
into the upper 80s and lower 90s with a continued light easterly
surface wind. Clearing skies will allow temps to drop a few
degrees lower Tuesday night with readings in the low to mid 60s.
Dunn
&&
.LONG TERM... /Issued 1126 PM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025/
/Wednesday through Monday/
A continued period of quiet weather is expected through the end of
the week and into the weekend as mid level ridging will largely
remain in control over the Southern Plains. By this weekend, a
weak upper trough will meander westward across Louisiana while
troughing amplifies over the western CONUS leaving North Texas
displaced from both the better moisture to our south and better
lift off to our northwest. This should continue to support a quiet
forecast, although humidity may begin to tick upwards a bit by
late weekend. Temperatures will continue to run 5-7 degrees above
normal each afternoon with readings in the upper 80s and lower
90s.
Dunn
&&
.AVIATION... /NEW/
/12Z TAFs/
VFR will prevail through the period with continued thick high
clouds this morning thinning out after midday. Some very light
precipitation is noted on radar mainly west and northwest of the
D10 airspace. This is mainly virga, although a few sprinkles could
be hitting the ground. East-northeast winds around 5 kt will
continue through the period.
Dunn
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    89  67  90  68  92 /   0   0   0   0   0
Waco                89  64  90  65  92 /   0   0   0   0   0
Paris               86  62  88  63  89 /   5   0   0   0   0
Denton              87  62  90  62  91 /   0   0   0   0   0
McKinney            87  63  90  64  91 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dallas              90  68  92  69  92 /   0   0   0   0   0
Terrell             88  63  90  63  91 /   0   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           90  66  92  66  92 /   0   0   0   0   0
Temple              90  63  91  64  92 /   0   0   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       89  62  92  63  93 /   0   0   0   0   0
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$

NWS FWD Office Area Forecast Discussion