Collinsville Alabama Weather Forecast Discussion

386
FXUS64 KHUN 101722
AFDHUN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
1222 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025
...New AVIATION...
.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of Today and Tonight)
Issued at 1100 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025
No impactful weather expected in the near term with dry conditions
anticipated today and just few/scattered mid/high clouds at times.
A shortwave riding generally southward along the western flank of
the East CONUS trough is instigating shower/storm development in
the Missouri Valley at present. That activity is expected to
remain well to our west, but tend to dissipate today as it
encounters increasingly less favorable dynamics/instability in
areas southward. Some mid/high clouds streaming eastward from this
weakening complex will move across the area today, but that`s
about all. Winds could get briefly gusty at times mainly in
southern portions of the area today with a tighter pressure
gradient apparent in analyses there. However, gusts may only be up
to ~15 mph. Later tonight, patchy fog could form in the typically
favored low-lying areas, and in areas where soil moisture tends
to be higher...at present, this is in NE portions of the area and
in some areas scattered around NW AL, however, significant fog
development does not appear likely.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Saturday through Monday)
Issued at 1100 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Not much change is expected through the weekend and into Monday as
the mid/upr trough remains in the East Coast while a shortwave may
tend to become partially closed off farther to our SE. This will
keep generally lgt N-NE flow across the area and a continuation
of dry conditions across the area. Temperatures will tend to be
near seasonal norms through the period.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Thursday)
Issued at 948 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025
Heading into next week, the upper level ridge to our west
amplifies and shifts eastward kicking the trough off the East
Coast. High pressure over the western Gulf Coast will keep the
persistent dry weather going for the Tennessee Valley through the
end of the long term period on Thursday. With a more westerly
flow pattern aloft, a gradual warmup is forecast with afternoon
highs returning to the lower 80s Monday through Thursday.
Overnight lows will also warm back up towards the mid to upper
50s by the middle of next week.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1230 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025
VFR conditions are expected for the 24 hour TAF period at KHSV
and KMSL. There is a ~20% chance of fog develop INVOF KMSL between
06-13Z, so confidence not sufficiently high to include in TAFs.
&&
.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...None.
TN...None.
&&
$$
NEAR TERM...KDW
SHORT TERM....KDW
LONG TERM....GH
AVIATION...KDW

NWS HUN Office Area Forecast Discussion