429 FXUS63 KPAH 101817 AFDPAHArea Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 117 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Dry conditions will linger through the middle of next week.
- Temperatures will be near seasonal norms through Saturday before climbing above normal Sunday through Wednesday as high temperatures reach into the upper 70s and low 80s.
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.DISCUSSION... Issued at 117 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025
An omega-block`ish upper level pattern remains in place overhead and looks to stick around for several more days. An amorphous surface high pressure ridge centered to the northeast will wax and wane a bit with the predominant effect of keeping surface moisture/humidity at bay with light westerlies today becoming a little more northwesterly - but still light - through the weekend. Transient high clouds look to be about the only sky factor through the weekend and into early next week.
Mid and upper level ridging at the center of the omega-block pattern moves more overhead into early next week which should lead to a little bit warmer afternoon temperatures and a little bit of Pacific drawn mid-level moisture may dot the skies with a few more clouds as temperatures warm up slightly. Pretty high confidence in deterministic and ensemble guidance that the dry pattern holds through day 7. This mornings 12z GFS deterministic has a pair of closed lows breaking through and giving us a chance at some deeper moisture return and precip by next weekend, but the ECMWF is not as bullish on this system.
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.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/... Issued at 1219 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025
VFR conditions with a somewhat variable but prevailing westerly wind can be expected for the rest of the day. Tonight ground fog is again possible near residual warm bodies of water (CGI) with VFR conditions anticipated elsewhere with transient high broken/overcast.
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.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None.
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DISCUSSION...JGG AVIATION...JGG
NWS PAH Office Area Forecast Discussion