Cochran Georgia Weather Forecast Discussion

429
FXUS62 KFFC 101029
AFDFFC
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
629 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
...New 12Z Aviation Discussion...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 628 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
- Breezy conditions along with mild temperatures continue into
      Friday before warming pattern into the weekend.
- Coastal low brings increased rain chances and cloud cover
      for southeast central Georgia before dry conditions prevail
      Saturday.
- A dry weather pattern will linger through next week, and
      combine with warming temperatures to favor continued or
      worsening drought conditions.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 628 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Coastal low off the Georgia Atlantic coast will be the main
driving factor for any shower development today. CAMs are
suggesting showers could reach into southeast central Georgia and
further northwestward but ultimately should stay confined to the
fall line and southward. Wind gusts of 20-25mph will continue
into this afternoon before tapering off into the overnight with
partly cloudy skies clearing out as well. The only real change
made was to increase rain chances over the southeastern portion of
central Georgia into the afternoon to account for the better
agreement in CAMs guidance. With increased chances for rain and
overall mostly cloudy to overcast skies expected over the southern
third of the CWA, decided to lower the max Ts in this area to top
out at 70 instead of the mid 70s. Based off latest guidance,
temps will struggle to get above 70s today for that area but the
remainder of the area should stay in the low to mid 70s for highs
with less cloud cover the further north you go.
Expecting the coastal low to push northeastward along the Atlantic
coast tomorrow which will limit rain chances to the far
southeastern counties of central Georgia with rain chances less
than 10% over this area. As a result, cloud cover will also push
further northeastward allowing the high pressure to fully settle
into place and limit cloud cover and thus start our warming trend
with highs in the mid to upper 70s across the area. Lows continue
to remain in the mid 50s for much of the area through Saturday
night with lows in the 40s over the northern portions of the area.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 628 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Temperatures will be back on the rise starting early on Sunday after
a several day stretch of more fall-like conditions. Ensemble
guidance is in agreement regarding a stout mid-/upper-level ridge
parking over the southern and central CONUS by early next week,
promoting increasing temperatures and dry conditions across north
and central Georgia. Given this synoptic pattern, the long term
period brings essentially no rain chances and ample sunshine. As a
result, maintenance and/or expansion of Moderate Drought (D1)
conditions and Severe Drought (D2) conditions across parts of
western Georgia, central Georgia, and the Atlanta metro area are
likely in the week ahead.&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 628 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Gusty winds will be the main story with gusts up to 20-25kt
expected through at least 20z tomorrow and potentially through
22z. Expecting CIGS to clear overnight and into the morning before
a SCT deck ~6000-7000ft sets up tomorrow afternoon with no
precipitation expected. Easterly winds begin to dampen into
tomorrow evening with skies clearing again.
//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...
Medium confidence on wind gusts lasting until 22z.
High confidence on all other elements.
Hernandez
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 628 AM EDT Fri Oct 10 2025
Gusty winds will be the main story with gusts up to 20-25kt
expected through at least 20z tomorrow and potentially through
22z. Clear CIGS this morning before a SCT deck ~6000-7000ft sets
up this afternoon with no precipitation expected. Easterly winds
begin to dampen into this evening with skies clearing again.
//ATL Confidence...12Z Update...
High confidence on all elements.
Hernandez
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          69  54  74  53 /   0  10   0  10
Atlanta         73  57  77  55 /  10   0   0   0
Blairsville     69  47  72  46 /   0   0   0   0
Cartersville    75  53  78  50 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus        75  58  79  54 /  10  10   0   0
Gainesville     70  54  75  53 /   0   0   0   0
Macon           70  57  77  54 /  30  20   0  10
Rome            78  52  79  50 /   0   0   0   0
Peachtree City  73  55  77  51 /   0  10   0   0
Vidalia         70  60  76  59 /  40  30  10  20
&&
.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Hernandez
LONG TERM....Martin
AVIATION...Hernandez

NWS FFC Office Area Forecast Discussion