Circleville, Texas Weather Forecast Discussion

379
FXUS64 KEWX 011747
AFDEWX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1247 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Warm days and mild nights continue through the middle of next week.
- Low chances (15-30%) for isolated showers or thunderstorms
  Friday through next week, mainly over the Coastal Plains.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Thursday night)
Issued at 1238 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
Mid-level ridging centered west of Texas brings dry, northwesterly
flow over the area through tomorrow. Thursday, this ridge amplifies
with more northerly wind seen aloft. At the surface, wind remains
light under this regime with mostly clear/sunny conditions and
warmer than normal October temperatures. Highs today and tomorrow
peak in the upper 80s and low 90s for the southern Edwards Plateau
and Hill Country with the mid 90s for most other locations. Lows
will continue on the mild side each night in the 60s to around 70
degrees.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Friday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1238 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
Mid-level ridging elongates and shifts slightly west Friday as an
upper low also shifts west towards Texas along the Gulf coast this
weekend into early next week. This mid-level low will aid in
increased moisture gradually building back towards the area day by
day leading to some low rain chances returning into the forecast.
Any isolated showers or thunderstorms are favored over the coastal
plains, but the vast majority of the area will remain dry through
the period. According to global ensembles, the probability for 24
hour rain totals of a tenth of an inch or greater is not significant
for the majority of the area (less than 10 percent). Highs and lows
continue to be a bit above normal for early October through the
period.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1238 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
VFR conditions through the TAF period under mainly mostly sunny to
clear skies. Light and variable winds are forecast through the
period across all area terminals.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1238 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025
Fuels are forecast to be dry to critically dry across the majority
of South Central Texas. With minimum RH values from 20-30 percent
through Saturday, locally elevated fire weather conditions may be
seen each afternoon. East to southeast surface winds will generally
be less than 10 mph limiting critical or near-critical fire weather
conditions.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              68  96  70  93 /   0   0   0  10
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  66  96  67  93 /   0   0   0  10
New Braunfels Muni Airport     67  95  67  93 /   0   0   0  10
Burnet Muni Airport            65  91  66  89 /   0   0   0  10
Del Rio Intl Airport           68  96  71  94 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        66  93  66  92 /   0   0   0  10
Hondo Muni Airport             65  95  67  93 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        65  97  65  94 /   0   0   0  10
La Grange - Fayette Regional   67  96  67  92 /   0   0   0  10
San Antonio Intl Airport       68  95  69  93 /   0   0   0  10
Stinson Muni Airport           69  96  70  95 /   0   0   0  10
&&
.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...27
LONG TERM....27
AVIATION...17

NWS EWX Office Area Forecast Discussion