Chambers, Louisiana Weather Forecast Discussion

178
FXUS64 KLCH 260534
AFDLCH
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
1234 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...
.KEY MESSAGES...
- A dry continental airmass will allow for rain free conditions
  along with slightly cooler highs / lows through the weekend.
- Dry weather is favored through the middle of next week as modest
  high pressure builds over the forecast area accompanied by
  offshore breezes.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Sunday night)
Issued at 1224 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
An upper level trough axis has now shifted east of the Mississippi
with the expectation it will fill briefly over the Ohio Valley
during the next couple days. Locally, a light northerly regime is
in place as the associated cold front migrates southeast offshore.
Main notable change in the pattern aside from lack of
precipitation will be cooler evening lows throughout the forecast
period. Despite, an expansive region of high pressure descending
across the Southern Plains, surface pressure will remain broad.
Nearby subtropical ridging will help keep the upper level pressure
gradient from becoming slack while entraining dry air from the
north. Temperatures will trend in the mid to upper 80`s with
mostly sunny skies through the weekend. Modest ridging is forecast
to remain in the area during this period keeping chances of rain
NIL.
Kowalski / 30
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Monday through Friday)
Issued at 1224 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
By Monday, conditions still appear to remain dry across the forecast
area. The aforementioned upper level trough over the Ohio valley is
expected to close off and meander around the TN Valley early next
week. This feature will abut the upper level ridge extending
across Texas enhancing northerly flow aloft. At this time, surface
flow continues to trend offshore which will help preclude any
possibility of rainfall. Temperatures will hedge toward
climatological norms in the upper 80`s. Come the middle of next
week, the ridge above shows signs of building east over the
ARKLATEX region keeping conditions dry locally. Highs will tick
upwards a few degrees by the mid week with lower 90`s being
common. Additionally, lows will also moderate upwards to the
mid/upper 60`s.
Kowalski / 30
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1224 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
VFR conditions expected to remain overnight across the TAF sites.
With clearing skies and calm winds, some locations interior
locations may see brief patches of BR near daybreak given recent
rainfall / surface moisture. Light northerly winds to resume
soon after sunrise.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 1224 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
A frontal boundary will continue to push through the Gulf waters
through this morning. Winds will remain out of the north to
northeast through the next several days, generally remaining 15
knots or less with seas 1-2 feet.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1224 AM CDT Fri Sep 26 2025
High pressure along with northerly winds will build in today and
persist over the area through Tuesday. This will bring relatively
drier air to the local area for the next few days, with minimum relative
humidity values dropping into the 40s.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  85  60  86  59 /   0   0   0   0
LCH  85  65  86  64 /   0   0   0   0
LFT  86  65  86  63 /   0   0   0   0
BPT  87  65  88  64 /   0   0   0   0
&&
.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM....30
AVIATION...30

NWS LCH Office Area Forecast Discussion