Bolton Landing, New York Weather Forecast Discussion

503
FXUS61 KALY 280622
AFDALY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Albany NY
222 AM EDT Sun Sep 28 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
Dry conditions in store today and through the next week.
Unseasonably warm temperatures through Tuesday, with seasonal
temperatures returning Wednesday into the end of the week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Key Message: Dry conditions persist with above normal
temperatures through Tuesday.
A coastal low pressure system continues to contribute partly to
mostly cloudy skies across eastern New York and western New
England this morning. As the coastal low continues to head east
this morning, clouds decrease and a partly to mostly sunny day
is in store with dry conditions continuing. A warm airmass is
overhead with high temperatures today ranging in the mid 70s to
mid 80s and dewpoint temperatures in the 60s. So it`ll feel a
bit muggy outside today before a cold front moves through this
evening helping move the more humid and warm airmass and bring
temperatures tonight near normal with lows in the 40s and 50s.
Surface high pressure builds in tonight from the north and west
that is going to be in place over eastern New York and western
New England through Saturday. Very high confidence in no
precipitation within the next seven days as ensemble forecast
models and National Blend of Models (NBM) 4.3 data support dry
conditions this week with upper level ridging in place. We`re in
the season with favorable early morning fog conditions,
especially in river valley locations. So patchy fog could
develop each morning this week as skies are clear during the
overnight hours.
High temperatures are still above normal for the end of
September as tomorrow`s high range in the low to low 80s and in
the 70s for Tuesday. For Tuesday night into Wednesday, another
cold front moves through to bring cooler temperatures back near
seasonable and even below normal with highs in the 50s and 60s
through Thursday. Behind the front for Wednesday afternoon,
gusty winds drain down valley locations with gusts ranging
between 15 and 20 mph. By Wednesday night, winds become calm
again and continue to be light and variable through the end of
the week.
Frost conditions are currently supported for Wednesday night
into Thursday morning across the eastern Catskills, southern
Vermont, Berkshires, and the southern Adirondacks. We`ll
continue to monitor temperatures, winds, and sky cover trends
this week as conditions are currently favorable for calm winds
and low temperatures below 36 degrees. If temperatures fall
below 32 degrees, freeze conditions could occur in the southern
Adirondacks, but the Frost/Freeze program ends for them on the
1st so headlines will likely not be issued for there.
Nevertheless, be prepared to protect plants and vegetation
Wednesday night into Thursday morning. Otherwise, most locations
could observe low temperatures Thursday morning in the mid 30s
to low 40s. High temperatures for Friday range in the 50s and
60s and Saturday range in the 60s and 70s. Low temperatures
range Friday morning in the 30s and low 40s with Saturday
morning lows ranging in the low 40s.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Through 06z Monday...VFR conditions are primarily expected at the
terminals for the upcoming TAF. Primary concerns initially will be a
low threat of rain showers at KPOU, and mist/fog at KGFL/KPSF.
Scattered rain showers will remain in the vicinity of KPOU through
about 28/07z, but should remain VFR in nature as rain will be light.
Brief drops to LIFR visibilities/ceilings will continue this morning
at KGFL due to development of fog with decreasing clouds aloft, and
continue to be addressed with a TEMPO group. While clouds will be
slow to exit KPSF, have maintained the previous TEMPO group
mentioning brief IFR conditions. Confidence in seeing fog here is
low unless clouds can move out before sunrise. Any fog/mist should
dissipate by 12-13z with a return to VFR conditions through the
remainder of the TAF period. Winds will generally be from the
S/SE at 5kt or less through tonight, increasing to 5-10 kt by
mid-morning from the southwest. Winds then veer to the W/NW
behind a cold frontal passage during the early afternoon, with a
few gusts to around 15-20 kt possible at ALB/PSF. Winds then
veer to the N/NW within the last few hours of the TAF period,
with any gusts diminishing as we approach sunset.
Outlook...
Monday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Friday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
&&
.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...Webb
DISCUSSION...Webb
AVIATION...Speck

NWS ALY Office Area Forecast Discussion