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Blackduck, Minnesota Weather Forecast Discussion

132
FXUS63 KFGF 221206
AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Forks ND 706 AM CDT Mon Sep 22 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Areas of Fog, locally Dense, thru mid morning...

- Warmer then average through the week with dry weather expected.

&&

.UPDATE... Issued at 701 AM CDT Mon Sep 22 2025

Fog has remained most consistent in the far eastern fcst area from Baudette to Park Rapids where the dense fog adv is out. West of there there is a rather narrow zone of ground fog (seems that way from webcams) from Cavalier to just west of Grand Forks thru Mayville and scattered down to Wahpeton. In an earlier update I did just expand fog mention to all areas as there has been a few fog areas via webcams around New Rockford and Cooperstown. I also updated this upcoming late Monday night for some fog in the east as this matched neighboring WFO`s and put in fog based on forecast vsbys 06z-14z Tue period.

&&

.DISCUSSION... Issued at 255 AM CDT Mon Sep 22 2025

...Synopsis...

500 mb low right over Duluth early this morning. Clouds finally cleared out of the Baudette and Bemidji areas early Sunday evening, but with the last clearing and calm winds fog quickly formed in this area and will remain thru mid morning. Some patchy fog may form as well farther west into the RRV, with HRRR indicating some fog forming in the southern RRV.

The overriding theme this week into the weekend is dry and warm. Upper level ridging builds east into south central Canada and far northern Plains this week as main jet and moisture reside well to our south. Stable upper air pattern and looks to persist for about 10 days into early October. Above normal temps and no frost concerns in this 10 day period. Considering the wet weather of the past few weeks, a dry period is very welcome by most.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/... Issued at 701 AM CDT Mon Sep 22 2025

Ground Fog and related varying vsbys within the Red River valley. Farther east more consistent fog Baudette to Bemidji area to Park Rapids, though vsbys here bouncing around from 1/4 to 1 SM. This will all burnoff mid morning with the far east the latest. Then some CU today eastern areas, went scattered coverage for now...but could be BKN. VFR though with bases at or above 5000 ft agl. RRV and E ND few CU but otherwise not much. Winds all areas light, variable in direction. Speeds under 10 kts.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ND...None. MN...Dense Fog Advisory until 11 AM CDT this morning for MNZ006-009- 016-017-023-024-028-031-032.

&&

$$

UPDATE...Riddle DISCUSSION...Riddle AVIATION...Riddle

NWS FGF Office Area Forecast Discussion

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