Downs, Kansas Weather Forecast Discussion

941
FXUS63 KGID 290843
AFDGID
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
343 AM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
- Seasonably warm today with highs in the mid-upper 80s.
- Above normal temperatures, breezy afternoon winds and mostly sunny
skies continue through Friday.
- Precipitation chances (15-25%) return this weekend.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 338 AM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
Today and Tuesday...
Temperatures this morning  are currently sitting in the upper 50s to
mid 60s with mostly clear skies. Aloft a ridge resides over the
Midwest with a trough over the southwest, placing the area under
southwesterly flow. This southwesterly flow will result in another
seasonably warm day across the area. Highs in the mid-upper 80s are
expected today, but would not be surprised if some areas reach into
the 90s given the recent trend of "overshooting" highs. Winds will
be on the breezier size this afternoon, mainly west of Highway
281, gusting 20-25mph. Lows tonight will be in the low 60s with
partly- mostly cloudy skies.
Similar weather is expected on Tuesday across the forecast area.
Highs on Tuesday look to be slightly cooler due to lingering cloud
coverage, but still climb into the 80s, warmest west of Highway 281.
Breezy southerly winds return during the afternoon hours, gusting 20-
25mph.
Wednesday through Friday...
A passing disturbance within the southwesterly flow aloft will move
through the area on Wednesday. 00z GFS and ECMWF ensemble members
have increased chances for light rain with this disturbance compared
to their 12z runs. For now the NBM remains dry during this time
range, but would not be surprised if low PoPs were eventually
introduced. If rain were to occur, any accumulations would be light
(under 0.10") due to dry air near the surface. Another seasonably
warm day is expected on Wednesday with highs in the mid 80s.
Southwesterly flow persists on Thursday and Friday in what starts to
feel like a broken record. Above normal temperatures (highs
mid- upper 80s, low 60s), sunny skies and breezy afternoon winds
(gusts 20-30mph) are expected each day.
Saturday and Sunday...
A more significant trough/troughing is expected to arrive this
weekend, bringing the next chance for PoPs (15-25%) to the
area. There remains a fair amount of spread in model guidance on
the timing and strength of troughing this weekend. Still, at
least some rain possible across the area this weekend but
details will become clearer as we get closer. Cooler, but near
normal temperatures are expected this weekend due to this
troughing with highs in the mid 70s to low 80s.
&&
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1214 AM CDT Mon Sep 29 2025
For KGRI/KEAR Airports:
VFR conditions through TAF period. LLWS remains possible at KEAR
through around 10z. Southerly winds increase after sunrise, with
sustained winds of 10-15kts and gusts of 15-20kts Monday
afternoon. Winds decrease around sunset, falling below 10kts
during the evening-early overnight hours. FEW-SCT high level
clouds possible during the day, with high level clouds becoming
SCT-BKN near the end of the TAF period.
&&
.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.
&&
$$
DISCUSSION...Davis
AVIATION...Davis

NWS GID Office Area Forecast Discussion